setup-recap

Whalor Setup Recap: August 13, 2026

7 resolved options setups, 5 profitable outcomes, 71% profitable, plus price action, alert rationale, and the complete contract-by-contract receipts.

Session price action

The regular session on August 13, 2026, presented a mixed but generally upward trend across major indices and key equities. $SPY opened at 774.87, traded in a range of 774.11 to 779.37, and closed up +0.38% from its open at 777.78, finishing above its session VWAP of 777.27. $QQQ exhibited stronger relative strength, opening at 725.15, trading up to 733.96, and closing at 732.35 (+0.99% from the open, above its VWAP of 731.52). Conversely, $IWM lagged, opening at 304.04 and closing down -0.19% from its open at 303.47, below its session VWAP of 303.83. Among individual names, $NVDA closed slightly higher at 225.49 (+0.19% from its 225.06 open, above VWAP), while $PLTR surged +2.97% from its 173.40 open to close at 178.56, well above its VWAP of 176.55.

Why the setups fired

Seven setups triggered during the session based on intraday technical levels. In the bullish trend, $NVDA triggered a vwap_reclaim_rejection setup near 223.81 as it found support near its daily lows. $SPY fired an opening_range_breakout_retest near 777.35 and later an ema_pullback_continuation near 777.97. $QQQ fired two bullish setups: a vwap_reclaim_rejection near 731.80 and an ema_pullback_continuation near 732.79. $IWM also triggered a bullish ema_pullback_continuation near 304.75 despite its overall downward trajectory. The sole bearish setup occurred on $PLTR, which fired a 15m EMA21 Failed-Break Reclaim near 169.56.

What the outcomes showed

Out of the 7 resolved setups, 5 were profitable and 2 resulted in losses, yielding a 71.4% win rate. Despite the high win rate, the one-contract modeled P&L for the session was -$53, largely because the two losses on $PLTR ($172.5 Put) and $QQQ ($732 Call) both hit -65% stop-outs, offsetting the +50% and +30% profit targets. The average tracked peak across all setups reached +48.5%, though these peaks represent historical maximums rather than achievable exits. Month-to-date, the platform maintains a strong record with 39 profitable setups out of 55 (70.9% win rate) and a positive modeled P&L of +$1,449.

What traders can learn

Today's session highlights how win rate alone does not dictate daily profitability. Even with a 71.4% success rate, deeper stop-outs (-65%) compared to standard profit-taking targets (+50% or +30%) can drag daily modeled P&L into negative territory. Additionally, intraday divergence is a key theme: the bullish setup on the weaker index ($IWM) succeeded with a +50% return, while one of the bullish setups on the stronger index ($QQQ) ended in a -65% stop-out. This underscores the necessity of strict risk management and independent validation of each individual setup.

To review every setup and its stock-candle outcome replay, visit the Whalor app.

Month-to-date record

Through August 13, 2026, Whalor has recorded 39 profitable outcomes and 16 losses across 55 resolved setups (70.9% profitable). The one-contract modeled result is +1449 dollars under the published methodology below.

Every resolved setup

ContractSetupOutcomeReturnTracked peak
$NVDA $225 CALL · 2026-08-14vwap_reclaim_rejection: vwap_reclaim_held / 5m_vwap_reclaim_retest_hold / 1m_vwap_retest_high_breakPROFIT TAKEN+50%+76%
$PLTR $172.5 PUT · 2026-08-1415m EMA21 Failed-Break ReclaimSTOPPED OUT-65%+13%
$SPY $779 CALL · 2026-08-17opening_range_breakout_retest: 15m_level_reclaim / 5m_breakout_retest_hold / 1m_retest_high_breakPROFIT TAKEN+50%+51%
$IWM $305 CALL · 2026-08-13ema_pullback_continuation: 15m_trend_supportive / 5m_21ema_pullback_hold / 1m_pullback_reversalPROFIT TAKEN+50%+73%
$SPY $778 CALL · 2026-08-13ema_pullback_continuation: 15m_trend_supportive / 5m_21ema_pullback_hold / 1m_pullback_reversalPROFIT TAKEN+50%+69%
$QQQ $732 CALL · 2026-08-13ema_pullback_continuation: 15m_trend_supportive / 5m_21ema_pullback_hold / 1m_pullback_reversalSTOPPED OUT-65%+21%
$QQQ $735 CALL · 2026-08-17vwap_reclaim_rejection: vwap_reclaim_held / 5m_vwap_reclaim_retest_hold / 1m_vwap_retest_high_breakPROFIT TAKEN+30%+36%

Methodology: Modeled P&L assumes one contract per setup. A setup that reached +50% is counted at +50%; otherwise a setup that reached +30% is counted at +30%; all other resolved outcomes use the recorded exit return. Tracked peak is hindsight context, not an assumed exit. Educational only, not financial advice.

$IWM $NVDA $PLTR $QQQ $SPY