setup-recap
Whalor Setup Recap: August 12, 2026
7 resolved options setups, 2 profitable outcomes, 29% profitable, plus price action, alert rationale, and the complete contract-by-contract receipts.
Session price action
On August 12, 2026, major indices and key equities mostly closed lower relative to their opening prices. $SPY opened at 774.71, traded within a range of 771.28 to 774.90, and closed at 772.83, representing a -0.24% decline from the open while finishing above its session VWAP of 772.71. $QQQ dropped -0.44% from its open of 727.08, trading between 722.92 and 727.25 before closing at 723.91, below its session VWAP of 724.55. $IWM slipped -0.09% from its 303.02 open to close at 302.75, finishing above its session VWAP of 302.35.
Among individual equities, $AAPL fell -1.00% from its open of 305.10 to close at 302.06, just above its session VWAP of 302.03. $AMZN experienced a larger decline, dropping -2.15% from its open of 273.18 to close at 267.30, below its session VWAP of 269.14. Conversely, $SPCX showed significant upward movement, opening at 135.04 and trading up to 149.60 before closing at 146.39—an 8.40% gain from the open, ending above its session VWAP of 143.02.
Why the setups fired
A total of seven setups triggered during the session:
- $AAPL: Fired a bullish Daily 50MA Undercut Reclaim setup near 312.74.
- $SPCX: Fired a bearish opening range breakout retest (15m level loss / 5m breakdown retest reject / 1m retest low break) near 132.78.
- $AMZN: Fired a bearish ema_pullback_continuation (15m trend supportive / 5m 21ema pullback reject / 1m pullback rejection) near 269.02.
- $QQQ: Fired a bullish ema_pullback_continuation (15m trend supportive / 5m 21ema pullback hold / 1m pullback reversal) near 725.47.
- $NOW: Fired a bullish vwap_reclaim_rejection (vwap_reclaim held / 5m vwap reclaim retest hold / 1m vwap retest high break) near 123.81.
- $SPY: Fired a bearish ema_pullback_continuation (15m trend supportive / 5m 21ema pullback reject / 1m pullback rejection) near 771.80.
- $SPY: Fired a bullish failed_breakout_breakdown_trap (support trap reclaim / 5m failed breakdown / 1m failed breakdown reclaim) near 773.73.
What the outcomes showed
Of the 7 resolved setups, 2 were profitable and 5 resulted in losses, yielding a win rate of 28.6% and a one-contract modeled P&L of -$982. This session slowed down the month-to-date record, which through today stands at 48 resolved setups, 34 profitable, 14 losses, a 70.8% win rate, and a positive modeled P&L of +$1184.
The profitable setups were the bearish $AMZN $270 PUT, which achieved a +100% return (reaching a tracked peak of +131%), and the bullish $NOW $125 CALL, which returned +30% (reaching a tracked peak of +31%).
The remaining setups resulted in losses. The bearish $SPCX $128 PUT stopped out at -65% (tracked peak +21%). The bullish $QQQ $725 CALL and bearish $SPY $771 PUT both stopped out at -65%. The bullish $SPY $769 CALL expired at -48% (tracked peak +17%), and the bullish $AAPL $350 CALL stopped out at -35%.
What traders can learn
This session highlights how intraday trend reversals can challenge setup parameters, particularly when individual tickers diverge from index behavior. For example, the bearish setup on $SPCX was stopped out for a -65% loss as the stock surged +8.40% from its open.
Additionally, this session serves as a reminder that a "tracked peak" represents the maximum favorable excursion during a trade's duration and must not be interpreted as an achievable exit. While some setups showed positive movement before failing—such as the $SPCX PUT reaching a +21% tracked peak and the $SPY CALL reaching +17%—disciplined execution of stop-out rules is essential to protect capital during low-win-rate sessions.
We invite you to review every setup and its stock-candle outcome replay in the Whalor app.
Month-to-date record
Through August 12, 2026, Whalor has recorded 34 profitable outcomes and 14 losses across 48 resolved setups (70.8% profitable). The one-contract modeled result is +1184 dollars under the published methodology below.
Every resolved setup
| Contract | Setup | Outcome | Return | Tracked peak |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $AAPL $350 CALL · 2027-02-19 | Daily 50MA Undercut Reclaim | STOPPED OUT | -35% | -0% |
| $SPCX $128 PUT · 2026-08-14 | opening_range_breakout_retest: 15m_level_loss / 5m_breakdown_retest_reject / 1m_retest_low_break | STOPPED OUT | -65% | +21% |
| $AMZN $270 PUT · 2026-08-12 | ema_pullback_continuation: 15m_trend_supportive / 5m_21ema_pullback_reject / 1m_pullback_rejection | PROFIT TAKEN | +100% | +131% |
| $QQQ $725 CALL · 2026-08-12 | ema_pullback_continuation: 15m_trend_supportive / 5m_21ema_pullback_hold / 1m_pullback_reversal | STOPPED OUT | -65% | +6% |
| $NOW $125 CALL · 2026-08-14 | vwap_reclaim_rejection: vwap_reclaim_held / 5m_vwap_reclaim_retest_hold / 1m_vwap_retest_high_break | PROFIT TAKEN | +30% | +31% |
| $SPY $771 PUT · 2026-08-12 | ema_pullback_continuation: 15m_trend_supportive / 5m_21ema_pullback_reject / 1m_pullback_rejection | STOPPED OUT | -65% | -3% |
| $SPY $769 CALL · 2026-08-12 | failed_breakout_breakdown_trap: support_trap_reclaim / 5m_failed_breakdown / 1m_failed_breakdown_reclaim | EXPIRED | -48% | +17% |
Methodology: Modeled P&L assumes one contract per setup. A setup that reached +50% is counted at +50%; otherwise a setup that reached +30% is counted at +30%; all other resolved outcomes use the recorded exit return. Tracked peak is hindsight context, not an assumed exit. Educational only, not financial advice.