setup-recap
Whalor Setup Recap: August 10, 2026
8 resolved options setups, 4 profitable outcomes, 50% profitable, plus price action, alert rationale, and the complete contract-by-contract receipts.
Session price action
On August 10, 2026, the major indices experienced muted, slightly negative-leaning regular-session price action. $SPY opened at 772.60, traded within a range of 771.62 to 775.05, and closed at 773.03. This represented a modest +0.06% change from the open, with the index finishing below its session VWAP of 773.27. Meanwhile, $QQQ opened at 722.39 and closed at 721.04 (-0.19% from the open, below its session VWAP of 722.10). $IWM opened at 300.51 and closed at 299.98 (-0.18% from the open, below its session VWAP of 300.13).
Individual equities showed divergent trends. $NVDA traded down significantly, opening at 223.40 and closing at 217.57, which was -2.61% from its open and below its session VWAP of 219.53. $INTC also closed lower at 97.49 (-0.78% from open, below its session VWAP of 98.14). Conversely, $AMZN demonstrated relative strength, opening at 274.01 and closing at 278.01 (+1.46% from the open, above its session VWAP of 277.44).
Why the setups fired
Eight intraday setups triggered based on specific technical criteria. In the weak-performing technology names, $INTC fired a bullish vwap_reclaim_rejection setup near 101.17, while $NVDA triggered a bearish prior_day_high_low_reclaim_rejection near 222.92. $QQQ fired a bearish vwap_reclaim_rejection near 720.02.
$SPY triggered three separate setups: a bearish prior_day_high_low_reclaim_rejection near 771.24, a bullish opening_drive_reversal near 773.13, and a bearish failed_breakout_breakdown_trap near 773.33.
Finally, two trend-following setups aligned with the day's intraday momentum. $AMZN fired a bullish ema_pullback_continuation near 276.49, and $IWM fired a bearish ema_pullback_continuation near 300.04.
What the outcomes showed
Today’s outcomes resulted in an even split, with a 50.0% win rate (4 profitable setups, 4 losses) and a one-contract modeled P&L of -295 dollars.
The four losing trades all hit their -65% stop-out thresholds:
- $INTC $100 CALL (tracked peak of +15%)
- $QQQ $716 PUT (tracked peak of +21%)
- $SPY $769 PUT (tracked peak of +0%)
- $NVDA $220 PUT (tracked peak of +21%)
The four profitable setups all achieved their +100% profit targets:
- $SPY $773 CALL (tracked peak of +127%)
- $AMZN $277.5 CALL (tracked peak of +242%)
- $SPY $773 PUT (tracked peak of +104%)
- $IWM $300 PUT (tracked peak of +104%)
The average tracked peak across all setups was +79.3%. Despite the daily drawdown, the month-to-date record remains highly positive through this session, with 35 resolved setups, 28 profitable setups (80.0% win rate), and a modeled P&L of +1653 dollars.
What traders can learn
Today's session demonstrates how a 50% win rate with standard risk-reward parameters can still result in a negative daily P&L. It highlights the importance of recognizing that tracked peaks represent the maximum potential contract appreciation during the session and are not achievable exit points for traders.
Furthermore, the contrasting performance between the clean EMA pullbacks (like $AMZN and $IWM) and the failed reclaim attempts (like $INTC and $QQQ) shows that in mixed, range-bound market conditions, trend-following pullbacks on clear relative strength or weakness can offer smoother paths to targets than level-reclaim setups.
We invite you to review every setup and its stock-candle outcome replay in the Whalor app.
Month-to-date record
Through August 10, 2026, Whalor has recorded 28 profitable outcomes and 7 losses across 35 resolved setups (80.0% profitable). The one-contract modeled result is +1653 dollars under the published methodology below.
Every resolved setup
| Contract | Setup | Outcome | Return | Tracked peak |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $INTC $100 CALL · 2026-08-10 | vwap_reclaim_rejection: vwap_reclaim_held / 5m_vwap_reclaim_retest_hold / 1m_vwap_retest_high_break | STOPPED OUT | -65% | +15% |
| $QQQ $716 PUT · 2026-08-10 | vwap_reclaim_rejection: vwap_reclaim_failed / 5m_vwap_failed_reclaim / 1m_vwap_rejection_low_break | STOPPED OUT | -65% | +21% |
| $SPY $769 PUT · 2026-08-10 | prior_day_high_low_reclaim_rejection: prior_day_high_rejected / 5m_prior_day_high_rejection / 1m_prior_day_high_rejection_low_break | STOPPED OUT | -65% | +0% |
| $NVDA $220 PUT · 2026-08-10 | prior_day_high_low_reclaim_rejection: prior_day_high_rejected / 5m_prior_day_high_rejection / 1m_prior_day_high_rejection_low_break | STOPPED OUT | -65% | +21% |
| $SPY $773 CALL · 2026-08-10 | opening_drive_reversal: opening_drive_washout_reversing / opening_drive_down_reclaim / 1m_opening_drive_reversal_reclaim | PROFIT TAKEN | +100% | +127% |
| $AMZN $277.5 CALL · 2026-08-10 | ema_pullback_continuation: 15m_trend_supportive / 5m_21ema_pullback_hold / 1m_pullback_reversal | PROFIT TAKEN | +100% | +242% |
| $SPY $773 PUT · 2026-08-10 | failed_breakout_breakdown_trap: resistance_trap_rejection / 5m_failed_breakout / 1m_failed_breakout_loss | PROFIT TAKEN | +100% | +104% |
| $IWM $300 PUT · 2026-08-10 | ema_pullback_continuation: 15m_trend_supportive / 5m_21ema_pullback_reject / 1m_pullback_rejection | PROFIT TAKEN | +100% | +104% |
Methodology: Modeled P&L assumes one contract per setup. A setup that reached +50% is counted at +50%; otherwise a setup that reached +30% is counted at +30%; all other resolved outcomes use the recorded exit return. Tracked peak is hindsight context, not an assumed exit. Educational only, not financial advice.