setup-recap
Whalor Setup Recap: October 6, 2026
2 resolved options setups, 1 profitable outcomes, 50% profitable, plus price action, alert rationale, and the complete contract-by-contract receipts.
Session price action
Today’s resolved set was split evenly: 2 setups, 1 profitable and 1 loss, for a 50.0% win rate and +$27 modeled one-contract P&L. The average tracked peak across the two was +34.5%, and neither setup reached +100%.
The broader session tape was mixed but mostly closed below VWAP. $SPY opened 778.15, traded 777.96-781.62, and closed 779.28, up 0.15% from the open but below session VWAP 779.82. $QQQ opened 760.51, traded 759.10-762.86, and closed 759.75, down 0.10% from the open and below VWAP 760.95. $IWM was weaker, opening 284.40, trading 280.76-284.64, and closing 281.27, down 1.10% from the open and below VWAP 282.16. $AAPL opened 332.28, traded 330.62-334.38, and closed 333.63, up 0.41% from the open and above VWAP 333.03.
Why the setups fired
Two bullish setups triggered. $QQQ fired a bullish zero_dte_ema13_bounce near 761.01, described as an ema13_support_reaction / 5m_ema13_bounce / 1m_ema_reaction_high_break setup. That lines up with an attempted support reaction in a session where $QQQ ultimately finished below VWAP.
$AAPL fired a bullish 200 EMA Reclaim near 333.68. $AAPL finished the session above VWAP, which is consistent with the reclaim-style trigger, though the contract itself still did not finish as a winner.
What the outcomes showed
The $QQQ $761 CALL · 2026-10-06 was a profit taken trade, returning +30% with a tracked peak of +47%. The $AAPL $335 CALL · 2026-10-07 closed before the bell with a recorded return of -14% and a tracked peak of +22%. As noted in the receipt, intraday tracking ends 15 minutes before the market close, even when the contract expires later, and the return uses the last completed option candle.
Month to date through this session, Whalor has recorded 11 resolved setups, with 6 profitable and 5 losses. That works out to a 54.5% win rate and -$98 in modeled one-contract P&L.
What traders can learn
Today’s results showed that a bullish trigger can align with the day’s directional context and still finish with different outcomes. $QQQ printed a bounce-style setup, but the index closed below VWAP and the contract still only produced a +30% profit-taken result after a +47% tracked peak. $AAPL, meanwhile, ended above VWAP after a 200 EMA reclaim trigger, but the option closed down -14% in the recorded session window.
The takeaway is not that either setup was “right” or “wrong” in isolation, but that trigger direction, session location, and intraday option path can diverge. The tracked peak gives context on intraday movement, while the final recorded return is the realized outcome in the journal.
Review every setup and its stock-candle outcome replay in the Whalor app.
Month-to-date record
Through October 6, 2026, Whalor has recorded 6 profitable outcomes and 5 losses across 11 resolved setups (54.5% profitable). The one-contract modeled result is -98 dollars under the published methodology below.
Every resolved setup
| Contract | Setup | Outcome | Return | Tracked peak |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $QQQ $761 CALL · 2026-10-06 | zero_dte_ema13_bounce: ema13_support_reaction / 5m_ema13_bounce / 1m_ema_reaction_high_break | PROFIT TAKEN | +30% | +47% |
| $AAPL $335 CALL · 2026-10-07 | 200 EMA Reclaim | CLOSED BEFORE THE BELL: Session close: intraday tracking ends 15 minutes before the market close, even when the contract expires on a later date. The recorded return uses the last completed option candle. | -14% | +22% |
Methodology: Modeled P&L assumes one contract per setup. A setup that reached +50% is counted at +50%; otherwise a setup that reached +30% is counted at +30%; all other resolved outcomes use the recorded exit return. Tracked peak is hindsight context, not an assumed exit. Educational only, not financial advice.