setup-recap
Whalor Setup Recap: October 5, 2026
3 resolved options setups, 2 profitable outcomes, 67% profitable, plus price action, alert rationale, and the complete contract-by-contract receipts.
Session price action
The major indexes finished the session higher and above VWAP. $SPY opened at 769.69, traded 769.63–776.61, and closed at 774.67 for a +0.65% move from the open, ending above session VWAP 773.90. $QQQ opened at 749.35, traded 749.08–756.92, and closed at 755.74 for +0.85%, also above VWAP 754.07. $IWM opened at 281.95, traded 280.03–284.24, and closed at 283.30 for +0.48%, above VWAP 282.63.
That broad intraday strength lined up with the day’s two bullish resolved setups, while the one bearish setup in SPY resolved differently.
Why the setups fired
$QQQ fired a bullish zero_dte_ema13_bounce near 751.89, based on ema13_support_reaction / 5m_ema13_bounce / 1m_ema_reaction_high_break.
$SPY fired a bearish opening_drive_reversal near 770.15, based on opening_drive_spike_reversing / opening_drive_up_rejection / 1m_opening_drive_reversal_rejection.
$IWM fired a bullish zero_dte_ema13_bounce near 282.31, based on ema13_support_reaction / 5m_ema13_bounce / 1m_ema_reaction_high_break.
Taken together, the setups reflect two bullish reactions around EMA13 support in QQQ and IWM, plus one bearish reversal attempt in SPY during the opening drive.
What the outcomes showed
Today’s resolved set was 3 setups, with 2 profitable and 1 loss, for a 66.7% win rate and +93 dollars in one-contract modeled P&L. The average tracked peak across the session was +140.2%, and 2 setups reached +100%.
Receipt by receipt: QQQ $751 CALL was profit taken at +100% with a tracked peak of +161%. SPY $769 PUT was stopped out at -65% with a tracked peak of -17%. IWM $282 CALL was profit taken at +100% with a tracked peak of +276%.
Month to date through this session, Whalor has 9 resolved setups, 5 profitable, 4 losses, a 55.6% win rate, and -125 dollars in one-contract modeled P&L.
What traders can learn
This session showed that the bullish EMA13-bounce structure worked in both QQQ and IWM, while the SPY opening-drive reversal did not. The market closed firm overall, with all three major ETFs ending above VWAP, but the day still produced one failed bearish setup and two winning bullish ones. The results also show a wide spread between modeled outcomes and tracked peaks: both winning trades reached triple-digit tracked gains, while the loss was stopped out before any positive follow-through.
For traders reviewing the journal, the key point is not just direction, but how each setup behaved relative to its trigger and the session’s intraday path. Review every setup and its stock-candle outcome replay in the Whalor app.
Month-to-date record
Through October 5, 2026, Whalor has recorded 5 profitable outcomes and 4 losses across 9 resolved setups (55.6% profitable). The one-contract modeled result is -125 dollars under the published methodology below.
Every resolved setup
| Contract | Setup | Outcome | Return | Tracked peak |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $QQQ $751 CALL · 2026-10-05 | zero_dte_ema13_bounce: ema13_support_reaction / 5m_ema13_bounce / 1m_ema_reaction_high_break | PROFIT TAKEN | +100% | +161% |
| $SPY $769 PUT · 2026-10-05 | opening_drive_reversal: opening_drive_spike_reversing / opening_drive_up_rejection / 1m_opening_drive_reversal_rejection | STOPPED OUT | -65% | -17% |
| $IWM $282 CALL · 2026-10-05 | zero_dte_ema13_bounce: ema13_support_reaction / 5m_ema13_bounce / 1m_ema_reaction_high_break | PROFIT TAKEN | +100% | +276% |
Methodology: Modeled P&L assumes one contract per setup. A setup that reached +50% is counted at +50%; otherwise a setup that reached +30% is counted at +30%; all other resolved outcomes use the recorded exit return. Tracked peak is hindsight context, not an assumed exit. Educational only, not financial advice.