setup-recap

Whalor Setup Recap: September 30, 2026

2 resolved options setups, 2 profitable outcomes, 100% profitable, plus price action, alert rationale, and the complete contract-by-contract receipts.

Session price action

Today’s resolved setups finished with a clean sweep: 2 resolved, 2 profitable, 0 losses, for a 100.0% win rate and +80 modeled dollars on a one-contract basis. Both trades also reached at least +100%, and the average tracked peak across the two was +120.3%.

The broader session had a generally softer tone below VWAP in the names tied to today’s setups. $IWM opened 280.17, traded 277.79–280.48, and closed 277.89, finishing below VWAP 279.23. $AAPL opened 330.80, traded 330.14–339.50, and closed 333.01, also below VWAP 335.92. For context, $SPY closed 763.09 below VWAP, and $QQQ closed 739.87 below VWAP as well.

Month to date through this session, Whalor has recorded 63 resolved setups, with 39 profitable and 24 losses, a 61.9% win rate, and +755 modeled dollars on a one-contract basis.

Why the setups fired

The $IWM $279 PUT fired on a bearish 15m_200ma_bounce_rejection signal: 15m_sma200_rejection / 5m_lower_high_or_rejection / 1m_bearish_trigger, near 279.46. That setup direction aligned with the day’s broader pressure in $IWM, which traded lower on the session and closed below VWAP.

The $AAPL $337.5 CALL fired on a bullish 200 EMA Reclaim near 337.17. This setup reflects a reclaim-style trigger, and AAPL’s intraday path included a move up to 339.50 before closing back below VWAP.

What the outcomes showed

Both setups were profit taken at +100%, with tracked peaks above that level: $IWM +104% and $AAPL +136%. Today’s receipts show that both trades reached the platform’s profit target and also spent time beyond it, but the tracked peak should be read as a recorded high watermark, not as an automatically available exit.

Importantly, there were no losses in today’s resolved sample. That makes the session a strong day on outcomes, but it is still only 2 resolved setups, so the sample is small.

What traders can learn

Today’s results reinforced a simple point: Whalor’s triggers can align with live intraday structure, but the setup direction alone does not guarantee a trend day or a straight-line move. $IWM followed through enough to support the bearish rejection idea, while $AAPL still delivered a profitable bullish reclaim even though it ultimately closed below VWAP.

For traders reviewing the session, the key takeaway is to focus on the setup context, trigger sequence, and the actual candle-by-candle response, not just the final outcome. A profitable result can still include movement against the trade later in the session, and a tracked peak is not the same thing as a guaranteed fill.

Review every setup and its stock-candle outcome replay in the Whalor app.

Month-to-date record

Through September 30, 2026, Whalor has recorded 39 profitable outcomes and 24 losses across 63 resolved setups (61.9% profitable). The one-contract modeled result is +755 dollars under the published methodology below.

Every resolved setup

ContractSetupOutcomeReturnTracked peak
$IWM $279 PUT · 2026-09-3015m_200ma_bounce_rejection: 15m_sma200_rejection / 5m_lower_high_or_rejection / 1m_bearish_triggerPROFIT TAKEN+100%+104%
$AAPL $337.5 CALL · 2026-09-30200 EMA ReclaimPROFIT TAKEN+100%+136%

Methodology: Modeled P&L assumes one contract per setup. A setup that reached +50% is counted at +50%; otherwise a setup that reached +30% is counted at +30%; all other resolved outcomes use the recorded exit return. Tracked peak is hindsight context, not an assumed exit. Educational only, not financial advice.

$AAPL $IWM