Whalor Setup Recap: September 15, 2026

Session price action

Today’s resolved set was a mixed tape with limited follow-through for the broader group. SPY opened at 760.12, traded between 756.15 and 760.35, and closed at 757.66, slightly down from the open but above session VWAP at 757.44. QQQ was weaker, opening at 708.80, trading 703.63 to 709.53, and closing at 705.04, below VWAP at 705.59. IWM opened at 286.62, moved between 284.08 and 286.93, and closed at 285.25, above VWAP at 285.07. AAPL was relatively firm, opening at 330.13, trading 328.35 to 331.78, and closing at 331.34, also above VWAP at 330.22.

Against that backdrop, today’s resolved setups finished at 3 total, with 1 profitable and 2 losses. The session produced a 33.3% win rate and a one-contract modeled P&L of -97 dollars. The average tracked peak was +74.1%, and 1 setup reached +100% during tracking.

Why the setups fired

The triggers were aligned to specific intraday patterns rather than broad market direction. SPY fired a bullish opening_drive_reversal setup: opening_drive_washout_reversing / opening_drive_down_reclaim / 1m_opening_drive_reversal_reclaim near 759.70. IWM fired a bearish Opening Range Retest Confirmation near 285.44. AAPL fired a bearish 1m VWAP Return Reclaim Put near 330.30.

These triggers were consistent with the recorded session structure: SPY and IWM both finished above VWAP, while QQQ finished below VWAP and AAPL closed above VWAP. That said, the setups are based on their own intraday rules and not on a single market-wide narrative.

What the outcomes showed

The three outcomes were split unevenly. SPY $759 CALL stopped out at -65% with a tracked peak of +1%. IWM $285 PUT was the clear winner, with profit taken at +100% after a tracked peak of +196%. AAPL $330 PUT was a tracked exit, closed before the bell at -6%, with a tracked peak of +25%.

Month to date, the journal now shows 37 resolved setups, 22 profitable, 15 losses, a 59.5% win rate, and +77 dollars in one-contract modeled P&L. So while today was negative, the broader monthly record remains positive.

What traders can learn

Today reinforced that even setups with strong intraday excursions do not guarantee a profitable ending. The IWM trade reached a very large tracked peak and was captured at +100%, while SPY barely advanced before stopping out and AAPL finished modestly negative despite a tracked move higher earlier in the session. The key takeaway is that setup direction, session price action, and tracked peak can diverge sharply from final outcome.

For traders reviewing Whalor results, today is a good reminder to focus on both the trigger quality and the full stock-candle path, not just the final return. Review every setup and its stock-candle outcome replay in the Whalor app.

Month-to-date record

Through September 15, 2026, Whalor has recorded 22 profitable outcomes and 15 losses across 37 resolved setups (59.5% profitable). The one-contract modeled result is +77 dollars under the published methodology below.

Every resolved setup

Contract	Setup	Outcome	Return	Tracked peak
$SPY $759 CALL · 2026-09-15	opening_drive_reversal: opening_drive_washout_reversing / opening_drive_down_reclaim / 1m_opening_drive_reversal_reclaim	STOPPED OUT	-65%	+1%
$IWM $285 PUT · 2026-09-15	Opening Range Retest Confirmation	PROFIT TAKEN	+100%	+196%
$AAPL $330 PUT · 2026-09-16	AAPL 1m VWAP Return Reclaim Put	CLOSED BEFORE THE BELL: Session close: intraday tracking ends 15 minutes before the market close, even when the contract expires on a later date. This corrected record uses the last completed option candle at 3:45 p.m. ET; the contract expires September 16. This is a tracked exit, not a confirmed customer fill.	-6%	+25%

Methodology: Modeled P&L assumes one contract per setup. A setup that reached +50% is counted at +50%; otherwise a setup that reached +30% is counted at +30%; all other resolved outcomes use the recorded exit return. Tracked peak is hindsight context, not an assumed exit. Educational only, not financial advice.