Whalor Setup Recap: September 14, 2026

Session price action

On September 14, 2026, the major indices and key equities exhibited mixed intraday movement. $SPY opened at 759.00, fluctuated within a range of 757.93 to 763.52, and closed at 760.71, representing a +0.23% gain from its open while finishing below its session VWAP of 761.07. $QQQ showed stronger relative performance, opening at 703.33, trading between 702.74 and 712.95, and closing above its session VWAP of 708.47 at 709.40 (+0.86% from the open). $IWM opened at 287.49, traded between 287.06 and 289.84, and closed at 287.85 (+0.13% from the open, below its session VWAP of 288.40).

Among mega-caps, $AAPL opened at 334.79, reached a high of 335.50 and a low of 331.34, before closing down -0.45% from its open at 333.29, below its session VWAP of 333.80. $TSLA opened at 359.78, traded in a wide range of 357.04 to 367.73, and closed at 358.71 (-0.30% from the open, also below its session VWAP of 361.16).

Why the setups fired

A series of bearish setups triggered as multiple assets rejected higher levels or failed to sustain early momentum:

• $AAPL: Fired a bearish AAPL 1m VWAP Return Reclaim Put setup near 334.51 as the stock fell back below key short-term VWAP levels.
• $SPY: Triggered a bearish opening drive reversal setup (opening_drive_reversal: opening_drive_spike_reversing / opening_drive_up_rejection / 1m_opening_drive_reversal_rejection) near 759.57.
• $IWM: Triggered an identical bearish opening drive reversal setup near 288.12.
• $TSLA: Fired a bearish Opening Range Retest Confirmation setup near 358.41 after failing to hold higher ground.

What the outcomes showed

Today's 4 resolved setups achieved a 100.0% win rate, with 4 profitable setups and 0 losses. The one-contract modeled P&L for the session was +204 dollars, with an average tracked peak of +75.5%. One setup reached the +100% threshold.

Specifically:

• The $IWM $288 PUT returned +100% (tracked peak +100%).
• The $SPY $759 PUT returned +50% (tracked peak +84%).
• The $AAPL $335 PUT returned +50% (tracked peak +74%).
• The $TSLA $357.5 PUT returned +30% (tracked peak +44%).

This flawless session brings the Month-to-Date (MTD) record through today to 34 resolved setups, with 21 profitable and 13 losses, resulting in a 61.8% win rate and a one-contract modeled P&L of +174 dollars.

What traders can learn

While $SPY, $IWM, and $QQQ all closed higher than their opening prints, the intraday price action was characterized by overhead resistance. $SPY, $IWM, $AAPL, and $TSLA all closed below their respective session VWAPs. This divergence highlighted the value of bearish setups on a day that appeared positive on a simple open-to-close basis.

However, traders must remember that tracked peaks represent the absolute maximum theoretical movement during a setup's window and should not be viewed as achievable exit targets. Furthermore, while today's session yielded zero losses, the MTD stats—which include 13 losses—serve as a reminder that disciplined risk management is necessary to navigate inevitable losing sessions.

We invite you to review every setup and its stock-candle outcome replay in the Whalor app.

Month-to-date record

Through September 14, 2026, Whalor has recorded 21 profitable outcomes and 13 losses across 34 resolved setups (61.8% profitable). The one-contract modeled result is +174 dollars under the published methodology below.

Every resolved setup

Contract	Setup	Outcome	Return	Tracked peak
$AAPL $335 PUT · 2026-09-14	AAPL 1m VWAP Return Reclaim Put	PROFIT TAKEN	+50%	+74%
$SPY $759 PUT · 2026-09-14	opening_drive_reversal: opening_drive_spike_reversing / opening_drive_up_rejection / 1m_opening_drive_reversal_rejection	PROFIT TAKEN	+50%	+84%
$IWM $288 PUT · 2026-09-14	opening_drive_reversal: opening_drive_spike_reversing / opening_drive_up_rejection / 1m_opening_drive_reversal_rejection	PROFIT TAKEN	+100%	+100%
$TSLA $357.5 PUT · 2026-09-14	Opening Range Retest Confirmation	PROFIT TAKEN	+30%	+44%

Methodology: Modeled P&L assumes one contract per setup. A setup that reached +50% is counted at +50%; otherwise a setup that reached +30% is counted at +30%; all other resolved outcomes use the recorded exit return. Tracked peak is hindsight context, not an assumed exit. Educational only, not financial advice.