setup-recap
Whalor Setup Recap: September 9, 2026
8 resolved options setups, 4 profitable outcomes, 50% profitable, plus price action, alert rationale, and the complete contract-by-contract receipts.
Session price action
On September 9, 2026, major indices and key equities closed lower relative to their opening prices. $SPY opened at 764.08, fluctuated between 760.94 and 764.47, and closed down 0.21% from the open at 762.47, finishing below its session VWAP of 762.72. $QQQ opened at 716.40, traded within a 714.02–719.70 range, and closed at 716.31, representing a 0.01% decline from the open and a close below its session VWAP of 716.60. $IWM experienced the largest relative decline, opening at 293.46, trading down to 290.31, and closing at 290.70 (-0.94% from the open, below its VWAP of 291.59).
Among large-cap equities, $NVDA opened at 225.28, traded between 223.46 and 226.18, and closed down 0.67% from its open at 223.77, below its session VWAP of 224.30. $AMZN opened at 253.12, traded between 250.65 and 254.69, and closed down 0.27% from the open at 252.44, though it managed to close above its session VWAP of 252.05.
Why the setups fired
The prevailing downward movement triggered several bearish setups. As $IWM weakened, it fired a bearish Directional Consensus setup near 292.79. $SPY’s drop triggered a bearish EMA13 Breakdown Continuation Put setup near 763.32. On $QQQ, a bearish failed breakout trap setup (resistance trap rejection / 5m failed breakout / 1m failed breakout loss) triggered near 717.04. $AMZN’s price action triggered a bearish ema pullback continuation setup (5m trend supportive / 5m 21ema pullback reject / 1m pullback rejection) near 251.75.
Conversely, several bullish setups fired as assets tested intraday levels. $QQQ fired a bullish Directional Consensus setup near 718.86. Additionally, three bullish failed breakout/breakdown trap setups (support trap reclaim / 5m failed breakdown / 1m failed breakdown reclaim) triggered: $NVDA near 225.20, $AMZN near 252.62, and $SPY near 763.14.
What the outcomes showed
Of the 8 resolved setups, 4 were profitable and 4 resulted in losses, representing a 50.0% win rate. The modeled one-contract P&L for the session was -$133, bringing the month-to-date record to 14 profitable setups and 10 losses (58.3% win rate, -$67 P&L).
The bearish setups successfully captured the downward momentum. The $IWM $293 Put, $SPY $763 Put, and $QQQ $716 Put setups all reached their +100% profit targets, with the $IWM Put reaching a tracked peak of +305%. The bearish $AMZN $252.5 Put setup also yielded a positive return of +30%.
In contrast, all four bullish setups failed, ending in -65% stop-outs. The bullish $QQQ $718 Call peaked at +27% before stopping out. The support trap reclaim setups on $NVDA ($225 Call), $AMZN ($252.5 Call), and $SPY ($763 Call) failed to gain traction, with tracked peaks reaching only +6%, +5%, and +11%, respectively.
What traders can learn
This session demonstrates the importance of alignment with the broader intraday trend. Bearish setups that traded in the direction of the day's downward price action achieved high returns, with three hitting +100% profit targets. Meanwhile, attempting to trade bullish reversals or support reclaims in a market where major assets closed below their opens resulted in consecutive stop-outs.
While the average tracked peak across all setups was +90.1%, these peaks represent maximum potential intraday fluctuations rather than achievable exit points. Strictly executing stop-outs at -65% limited the downside on failing setups, though the net results for the day remained negative.
To review every setup and its detailed stock-candle outcome replay, check the Whalor app.
Month-to-date record
Through September 9, 2026, Whalor has recorded 14 profitable outcomes and 10 losses across 24 resolved setups (58.3% profitable). The one-contract modeled result is -67 dollars under the published methodology below.
Every resolved setup
| Contract | Setup | Outcome | Return | Tracked peak |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $IWM $293 PUT · 2026-09-09 | Directional Consensus | PROFIT TAKEN | +100% | +305% |
| $SPY $763 PUT · 2026-09-09 | EMA13 Breakdown Continuation Put | PROFIT TAKEN | +100% | +207% |
| $QQQ $718 CALL · 2026-09-09 | Directional Consensus | STOPPED OUT | -65% | +27% |
| $QQQ $716 PUT · 2026-09-09 | failed_breakout_breakdown_trap: resistance_trap_rejection / 5m_failed_breakout / 1m_failed_breakout_loss | PROFIT TAKEN | +100% | +114% |
| $AMZN $252.5 PUT · 2026-09-09 | ema_pullback_continuation: 5m_trend_supportive / 5m_21ema_pullback_reject / 1m_pullback_rejection | PROFIT TAKEN | +30% | +47% |
| $NVDA $225 CALL · 2026-09-09 | failed_breakout_breakdown_trap: support_trap_reclaim / 5m_failed_breakdown / 1m_failed_breakdown_reclaim | STOPPED OUT | -65% | +6% |
| $AMZN $252.5 CALL · 2026-09-09 | failed_breakout_breakdown_trap: support_trap_reclaim / 5m_failed_breakdown / 1m_failed_breakdown_reclaim | STOPPED OUT | -65% | +5% |
| $SPY $763 CALL · 2026-09-09 | failed_breakout_breakdown_trap: support_trap_reclaim / 5m_failed_breakdown / 1m_failed_breakdown_reclaim | STOPPED OUT | -65% | +11% |
Methodology: Modeled P&L assumes one contract per setup. A setup that reached +50% is counted at +50%; otherwise a setup that reached +30% is counted at +30%; all other resolved outcomes use the recorded exit return. Tracked peak is hindsight context, not an assumed exit. Educational only, not financial advice.